Did Lockdown Work? Doesn’t Look That Way

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lockdowns

Most of my “friends” are convinced the virus and the vaccine [and man-made global warming] are real.  When I corner them on why, they tell me they are “believing the science”. When I ask them for the science they are believing, they cannot give it to me. They admit they are just believing the “best looking” (most convincing) talking head like Fauci who changes his mandates like the wind. They have been told that the vaccine is the only way to stop the virus. They can’t believe the media and government would lie so boldly. When I give them alternative info, they dismiss it and me, saying things like, “let’s agree to disagree”, like it is some religion (which it is) and you can choose which you follow based on faith and presentation, not facts.

Here are excerpts from an August 2020 paper by Christian Bjørnskov of Aarhus University and the Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Stockholm.

I have highlighted what I consider to be  the most important points in bold.

Did Lockdown Work? An Economist’s Cross-Country Comparison

I compare weekly general mortality rates in the first half of the year in 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020 in 24 European countries that took very different policy measures against the virus at different points in time. Estimating the effects of these policy measures as captured by the Blavatnik Centre’s Covid 19 policy indices and taking the endogeneity of policy responses into account, the results suggest that stricter lockdown policies have not been associated with lower mortality.

While weekly mortality counts all actual deaths in the country, Covid 19-related deaths are counted as deaths where the deceased tested positive for the virus but where the death is not necessarily caused by the virus.

As indicated by previous research, policy responses to emergencies are often informed more by the promise of additional, unchecked power than the severity of the emergency.

The lockdowns in most Western countries have thrown the world into the most severe recession since World War II and the most rapidly developing recession ever seen in mature market economies. They have also caused an erosion of fundamental rights and the separation of powers in large part of the world as both democratic and autocratic regimes have misused their emergency powers and ignored constitutional limits to policy-making.

It is therefore important to evaluate whether and to which extent the lockdowns have worked as officially intended: to suppress the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and prevent deaths associated with it. Comparing weekly mortality in 24 European countries, the findings in this paper suggest that more severe lockdown policies have not been associated with lower mortality. In other words, the lockdowns have not worked as intended.

These general findings are consistent with the results of a previous paper using a synthetic control method to test the effects of Sweden’s absence of a lockdown. Although much has been claimed about Sweden’s relatively high mortality rate, compared to the other Nordic countries, the present data show that the country experienced 161 fewer deaths per million in the first 8 ten weeks, and 464 more deaths in weeks 11-22. In total, Swedish mortality rates are 14 percent higher than in the preceding three years, which is slightly more than France, but considerably fewer than Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom that all implemented much stricter policies.

…evidence from Sweden as well as the evidence presented here does not suggest that lockdowns have significantly affected the development of mortality in Europe. It has nevertheless wreaked economic havoc in most societies and may lead to a substantial number of additional deaths for other reasons. A British government report from April for example assessed that a limited lockdown could cause 185,000 excess deaths over the next years.

Evaluated as a whole, at a first glance, the lockdown policies of the Spring of 2020 therefore appear to be substantial long-run government failures.

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Stay safe. Not from the virus, but from the vaccine, Gates, Fauci, and the other lying, conniving, government thugs.

~”All democracies degenerate into Tyrannies – they are the two faces of the same, oscillating thing”

– Socrates

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See the entire paper here:

Electronic copy available at:

https://ssrn.com/abstract=3665588

https://www.datascienceassn.org/sites/default/files/Did%20Lockdown%20Work%20An%20Economist %E2%80%99s%20Cross-Country%20Comparison.pdf

1 COMMENT

  1. Coronamania Quotes – Regarding mentally and morally deranged hypocrites like Dr. Falsie and Bill Gates and people in power who they control (or who control them), their cockamamie face diaper mandates, ‘Lockdowns,’ vaccines, social distancing, etc. and the ever growing public outcry against them and their worthless agendas:

    “Woe unto them that decree unrighteous decrees, and that write grievousness which they have prescribed.” Isaiah 10:1 in the King James Version
    “Men seldom, or rather never for a length of time and deliberately, rebel against anything that does not deserve rebelling against.” Thomas Carlyle
    “The thing worse than rebellion is the thing that causes rebellion.” Frederick Douglass
    “Any general loathing of a gang or sect usually has some sound basis in instinct.” Ezra Pound
    “Any fool can make a rule, and any fool will mind it.” Henry David Thoreau
    “It’s better to die on your feet than live on your knees.” Alexander Lukashenko
    “They will create the virus themselves and will sell you the antidote.” Muammar al Gaddafi
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie, deliberate, contrived, and dishonest, but the myth, persistent, pervasive, and unrealistic.” John F. Kennedy.
    “It is by its promise of a sense of power that evil often attracts the weak.” Eric Hoffer
    “Those who fervently seek the annihilation of others are really driven by the longing for self-annihilation.” Emile Durkheim
    “All ambitions are lawful except those that climb upward on the miseries and credulities of mankind.” Henry Ward Beecher
    “If all else fails, immorality can always be assured by spectacular error.” John Kenneth Galbraith
    “Find out just what any people will quietly submit to and you have found the exact measure of the injustice and wrong which will be imposed on them.” Frederick Douglass
    “The limits of tyrants are prescribed by the endurance of those whom they oppress.” Frederick Douglass
    “The defiance of established authority, religious and secular, social and political, as a worldwide phenomenon may well one day be accounted the outstanding event of the decade.” Hannah Arendt, 1969
    “The greatest evil perpetrated is the evil committed by nobodies, that is by human beings who refuse to be persons.” Hannah Arendt
    “Only crime and the criminal, it is true, confront us with the perplexity of radical evil; but only the hypocrite is rotten to the core.” Hannah Arendt
    “Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate talents regardless of their sympathies, with those crackpots and fools whose lack of intelligence and creativity are still the last guarantee of their loyalty.” Hannah Arendt
    “Before man’s leaders seize the power to fit reality to their lies, their propaganda is marked by its extreme contempt for facts as such, for in their opinion fact depends entirely on the power of men who can fabricate it.” Hannah Arendt
    “Love by its very nature is unworldly, and it is for this reason, rather than its rarity, that it is not only apolitical but antipolitical, perhaps the most powerful of all antipolitical forces.” Hannah Arendt
    “Suffering by nature or chance never seems so painful as suffering inflicted on us by the arbitrary will of another.” Arthur Schopenhauer
    “If you give someone power, they’re going to use it.” Dr. Paul Craig Roberts
    “Force does not constitute right… obedience is due only to legitimate powers.” Jean-Jacques Rousseau
    “Dressed in the lion’s skin the ass spread terror far and wide.” Jean de La Fontaine
    “Force may make hypocrites, but it can never make converts.” William Penn
    “Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God.” William Penn
    “Let the people think they govern, and they will be governed.” William Penn
    “Technology is dominated by those who manage what they do not understand.” Murphy (from Murphy’s Laws)
    “It is impossible to make anything foolproof because fools are so ingenious.” Murphy.
    “If you build a system that a fool can use, only a fool will use it.”Murphy
    “The mouth of the righteous speaketh wisdom, and his tongue talketh of judgment. The Law of God is in his heart; none of his steps shall slide. The wicked watcheth the righteous and seeketh to slay him. The Lord will not leave him in his hand, nor condemn him when he is judged. Wait on the Lord and keep his way, and he shall exalt thee to inherit the land. I have seen the wicked in great power, and spreading himself like a green bay tree. Yet he passed away, and lo, he was not: Yea, I sought him but he could not be found.” Psalm 37:30-36 in the King James Version.

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